What the survey says
Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey reports the average rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage each week, drawn from lender applications. The figure for the week of October 1, 2026 is 7.28%. A year earlier, on October 2, 2025, it was 6.34%. In January 2021 it was 2.65%, and in January 2019 it was 4.51%.
The recent direction is up. The rate was 6.16% on January 8, 2026 and 6.46% on April 2. It has risen 0.52 points in just the last three weekly readings, from 6.76% on September 10. The Federal Reserve's own policy rate, the federal funds rate, averaged 3.75% in September, so mortgage rates are not simply following it.* They track longer-term bond yields more closely.*
The payment at four different rates
| Week | 30-yr rate | Payment on $400,000 | Avg hourly pay then | Hours of pay per payment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2019 | 4.51% | $2,029 | $27.59 | 74 hours |
| Jan 7, 2021 | 2.65% | $1,612 | $29.93 | 54 hours |
| Oct 2, 2025 | 6.34% | $2,486 | $36.70 | 68 hours |
| Oct 1, 2026 | 7.28% | $2,737 | $37.81 | 72 hours |
Worked example: the same $400,000 loan
Take a $400,000 30-year fixed loan. The standard payment formula gives $2,029 a month at 4.51%, $1,612 at 2.65%, $2,486 at 6.34% and $2,737 at 7.28%. These numbers cover principal and interest only. Property tax, insurance and any mortgage insurance come on top.
Over a 30-year life, total interest at 7.28% is about $585,266, versus $180,268 at 2.65%. Assumptions: a fixed loan amount, no points or fees, no extra payments, kept for the full term. Most people refinance or sell sooner.*
The last column converts the payment into hours of average pre-tax pay, using average hourly earnings of private employees. It is a yardstick, not a budget: most households have more than one earner and pay tax.
What this means for your wallet
The headline price of a house can hide the real cost of owning it. Between the 2.65% rate and today's 7.28% the monthly payment on the same loan has risen 70%. Buyers cannot borrow as much for the same payment. At $1,612 a month, the loan size that fits shrinks to about $235,578 at today's rate.
For people with an existing fixed-rate mortgage, the picture is the reverse. A low fixed rate is a payment that inflation erodes in real terms.* That is also why many owners are reluctant to sell.* If you are weighing a purchase, run the payment at a few rates around today's figure. A one-point change on $400,000 moves the payment by about $266 a month.
Taxes, insurance and the true monthly bill
The payments above are principal and interest only. A real monthly housing bill adds property tax and homeowners insurance, and sometimes mortgage insurance when the down payment is small. Those vary enormously by state and by house, and they have been rising in many places.* So the true cost of a $400,000 loan at 7.28% is higher than the headline figure here.
The loan size matters too. The $400,000 in this post is a round number picked for comparison, not the median home price. If you borrow $300,000, scale every payment by three quarters. The pattern across the four rates stays the same: the payment has risen by roughly 70% since the 2.65% reading.
One more caution on the table. The hours-of-pay column divides a gross monthly payment by an average gross hourly wage, so it ignores tax and it assumes a single earner. It is a way to compare eras, not a statement about what any household can afford. Lenders look at income, debts and credit history, and their rules are their own.
How to read this without over-reading it
Three limits are worth stating. First, the survey rate is an average. Your offered rate depends on your credit score, down payment, loan type and lender. Second, a weekly reading can move without a trend: the series has moved by more than half a point in a month before and then reversed.* Third, nobody can say where rates go next, including the people who publish forecasts.
What the data supports is a narrow claim: at the rate on October 1, 2026, a $400,000 loan costs the monthly figure above in principal and interest. Everything beyond that is a scenario.
Run it with your own numbers
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Common questions
What is the current 30-year mortgage rate?
Freddie Mac's survey showed 7.28% for the week of October 1, 2026.
How much is the payment on a $400,000 mortgage?
At 7.28% over 30 years, principal and interest is about $2,737 a month. Taxes and insurance are extra.
Why have mortgage rates risen recently?
The survey went from 6.76% on September 10 to 7.28% on October 1. Mortgage rates generally follow long-term bond yields.* The data here shows the move but not its cause.
Is it better to wait for lower rates?
That depends on your situation. Nobody can predict rates, and a lower rate can come with higher house prices.* Run the numbers for your own loan.
Keep reading
How much has rent gone up since 2019?Are wages keeping up with inflation in 2026?All free money toolsSources
- Freddie Mac, 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States, weekly, series MORTGAGE30US, via FRED (fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US), retrieved October 4, 2026. Latest reading: October 1, 2026.
- Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Funds Effective Rate, monthly, series FEDFUNDS, via FRED, retrieved October 4, 2026.
- U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Average Hourly Earnings of All Employees, Total Private, series CES0500000003, via FRED, retrieved October 4, 2026.
Notes
- * Statements that mortgage rates follow long-term bond yields more than the policy rate, that most owners refinance or sell before 30 years, that a fixed rate loses real value as prices rise, that owners are reluctant to give up low rates, that the series has reversed after half-point moves, and that lower rates can bring higher house prices are commonly stated. They were not independently verified for this post. Payment figures are computed from the standard amortization formula and assume no taxes, insurance or fees.
- Educational only, not financial advice. Figures are historical and are not a promise of future results. Where a statement or number carries a *, it could not be independently checked against a primary source today: check current sources before relying on it.